Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.019554 0.021520 0.023495 0.025620 0.027839 0.030083 0.032520
2025-05-25 0.015350 0.018400 0.021587 0.025139 0.028968 0.032949 0.037382
2025-06-01 0.012940 0.016588 0.020515 0.025003 0.029944 0.035174 0.041091
2025-06-08 0.010973 0.014999 0.019457 0.024665 0.030502 0.036772 0.043953
2025-06-15 0.009597 0.013924 0.018838 0.024689 0.031346 0.038582 0.046952
2025-06-22 0.008213 0.012708 0.017949 0.024311 0.031654 0.039727 0.049149
2025-06-29 0.006907 0.011468 0.016940 0.023711 0.031639 0.040450 0.050822
2025-07-06 0.005571 0.010070 0.015647 0.022697 0.031080 0.040503 0.051692
2025-07-13 0.005025 0.009649 0.015512 0.023029 0.032057 0.042276 0.054476
2025-07-20 0.004342 0.008980 0.015022 0.022895 0.032456 0.043362 0.056459
2025-07-27 0.003721 0.008339 0.014526 0.022722 0.032780 0.044339 0.058298
2025-08-03 0.003454 0.008186 0.014649 0.023301 0.033994 0.046340 0.061302
2025-08-10 0.002944 0.007658 0.014299 0.023336 0.034621 0.047743 0.063728
2025-08-17 0.002331 0.006903 0.013611 0.022931 0.034720 0.048544 0.065488
2025-08-24 0.001884 0.006349 0.013160 0.022799 0.035126 0.049686 0.067622
2025-08-31 0.001451 0.005742 0.012588 0.022476 0.035272 0.050498 0.069356
2025-09-07 0.001161 0.005346 0.012293 0.022499 0.035833 0.051795 0.071646
2025-09-14 0.000839 0.004800 0.011734 0.022138 0.035889 0.052469 0.073190
2025-09-21 0.000542 0.004202 0.011045 0.021566 0.035653 0.052770 0.074277
2025-09-28 0.000269 0.003490 0.010105 0.020600 0.034878 0.052392 0.074536
2025-10-05 0.000193 0.003336 0.010078 0.020917 0.035759 0.054035 0.077201
2025-10-12 0.000101 0.003024 0.009752 0.020790 0.036049 0.054942 0.078979
2025-10-19 0.000038 0.002721 0.009413 0.020624 0.036277 0.055764 0.080648